Madagascar vs Mayotte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
RSA
1 - 0
MAD
80%
15%
5%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
CIV
3 - 0
MAD
93%
5%
1%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
MAD
1 - 0
BOT
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
MAD
0 - 2
ZAM
14%
20%
66%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
MAD
1 - 2
MOZ
23%
23%
55%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |