Madagascar vs Ghana analysis

Madagascar Ghana
64 ELO 79
-11.7% Tilt -10.6%
2568º General ELO ranking 691º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
22%
Madagascar
25.8%
Draw
52.2%
Ghana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
Madagascar
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
52.2%
Win probability
Ghana
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Madagascar
-19%
-13%
Ghana

ELO progression

Madagascar
Ghana
Central African Republic
Chad
Mali
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Madagascar
Madagascar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Mar. 2025
CTA
Central African Republic
1 - 4
Madagascar
MAD
12%
18%
70%
65 46 19 0
29 Dec. 2024
MAD
Madagascar
0 - 1
Swaziland
SWZ
62%
22%
16%
65 54 11 0
20 Dec. 2024
SWZ
Swaziland
0 - 2
Madagascar
MAD
22%
24%
54%
64 56 8 +1
18 Nov. 2024
COM
Comoros
1 - 0
Madagascar
MAD
30%
26%
44%
65 61 4 -1
14 Nov. 2024
MAD
Madagascar
2 - 3
Tunisia
TUN
19%
25%
56%
65 84 19 0

Matches

Ghana
Ghana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 2025
GHA
Ghana
5 - 0
Chad
CHA
81%
15%
5%
79 48 31 0
28 Dec. 2024
NGA
Nigeria
3 - 1
Ghana
GHA
61%
22%
17%
79 83 4 0
22 Dec. 2024
GHA
Ghana
0 - 0
Nigeria
NGA
35%
27%
38%
79 83 4 0
11 Dec. 2024
TOG
Togo
0 - 2
Ghana
GHA
23%
26%
51%
79 66 13 0
18 Nov. 2024
GHA
Ghana
1 - 2
Niger
NIG
76%
17%
7%
79 58 21 0