Madagascar vs Ghana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
52.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
CTA
1 - 4
MAD
12%
18%
70%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 1
SWZ
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
SWZ
0 - 2
MAD
22%
24%
54%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
COM
1 - 0
MAD
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
MAD
2 - 3
TUN
19%
25%
56%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
GHA
5 - 0
CHA
81%
15%
5%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
NGA
3 - 1
GHA
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
GHA
0 - 0
NGA
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
TOG
0 - 2
GHA
23%
26%
51%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
GHA
1 - 2
NIG
76%
17%
7%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |