Madagascar vs Comoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 2
RWA
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
MAD
1 - 0
BDI
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 3
MAD
14%
20%
66%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
GHA
1 - 0
MAD
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MAD
2 - 1
BEN
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
ANG
19%
26%
55%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
COM
4 - 0
UGA
20%
26%
53%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +3 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
COM
1 - 0
GHA
9%
21%
69%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
COM
4 - 2
CTA
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
CPV
1 - 2
COM
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +1 |