Madagascar vs Comoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
MAD
0 - 0
MAY
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 9 | 45 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
RSA
1 - 0
MAD
80%
15%
5%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
CIV
3 - 0
MAD
93%
5%
1%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
MAD
1 - 0
BOT
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
MAD
0 - 2
ZAM
14%
20%
66%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
SWZ
3 - 0
COM
74%
17%
9%
|
11 | 51 | 40 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
SYC
1 - 2
COM
79%
14%
7%
|
9 | 47 | 38 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
COM
0 - 0
BOT
17%
23%
61%
|
9 | 65 | 56 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
COM
0 - 1
LSO
15%
22%
64%
|
9 | 53 | 44 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2008 |
COM
0 - 1
MWI
15%
20%
65%
|
9 | 65 | 56 | 0 |