African WC Qual. First Round Final
Global 10-2
Madagascar vs Comoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
MAD
3 - 0
COM
78%
15%
8%
|
51 | 11 | 40 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
MAD
0 - 0
COD
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
MAD
0 - 2
GAB
19%
21%
60%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
CIV
5 - 0
MAD
94%
5%
1%
|
52 | 87 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
MAD
0 - 5
SYC
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
MAD
3 - 0
COM
78%
15%
8%
|
11 | 51 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
DJI
2 - 4
COM
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 43 | 34 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2006 |
YEM
2 - 0
COM
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 54 | 45 | 0 |