Madagascar vs Comoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
MAD
0 - 0
COD
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
MAD
0 - 2
GAB
19%
21%
60%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
CIV
5 - 0
MAD
94%
5%
1%
|
52 | 87 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
MAD
0 - 5
SYC
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
MAD
0 - 1
ZIM
20%
25%
55%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Comoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
DJI
2 - 4
COM
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2006 |
YEM
2 - 0
COM
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 54 | 45 | 0 |