Madagascar vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
10.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
MAD
0 - 1
COM
47%
26%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
ANG
4 - 1
MAD
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
MAD
1 - 1
SWZ
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
COD
3 - 1
MAD
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
TAN
0 - 1
MAD
35%
27%
39%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
KEN
2 - 1
CHA
64%
23%
13%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 0
KEN
15%
22%
63%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
COM
1 - 0
CHA
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
GHA
5 - 0
CHA
81%
15%
5%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
COD
3 - 1
CHA
80%
15%
5%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | -1 |