Madagascar vs Mauritius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2008 |
MAD
1 - 1
SYC
52%
24%
25%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
MAD
1 - 1
SWZ
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
MOZ
3 - 0
MAD
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
MAD
1 - 1
MOZ
26%
23%
52%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
MAD
0 - 0
CIV
5%
16%
79%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2008 |
MUS
1 - 1
SWZ
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
MUS
0 - 7
SYC
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
CPV
3 - 1
MUS
65%
20%
16%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
MUS
0 - 1
CPV
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
MUS
0 - 3
CMR
5%
17%
79%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |