Madagascar vs Mauritius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
MUS
2 - 0
MAD
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
MOZ
2 - 0
MAD
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
BEN
3 - 2
MAD
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
MAD
1 - 1
BEN
40%
25%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
MUS
3 - 1
MAD
34%
26%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
MUS
0 - 1
RSA
11%
19%
70%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
MUS
2 - 0
MAD
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2004 |
ZAM
3 - 1
MUS
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
MUS
2 - 0
RSA
9%
18%
74%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
MUS
3 - 1
UGA
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | +2 |