Madagascar vs Mauritius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
MUS
0 - 1
MAD
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
MAD
1 - 0
EGY
11%
23%
66%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2002 |
RSA
4 - 1
MAD
83%
13%
5%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
RSA
1 - 0
MAD
81%
13%
5%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
MUS
2 - 3
MAD
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
MUS
0 - 1
MAD
26%
25%
49%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2002 |
MUS
1 - 0
SYC
66%
18%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
SWZ
0 - 0
MUS
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2002 |
SWZ
0 - 1
MUS
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
MUS
2 - 3
MAD
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |