Madagascar vs Mauritius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2000 |
MAD
1 - 1
MUS
71%
17%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1998 |
MAD
2 - 0
MUS
69%
18%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 1998 |
MAD
3 - 0
SYC
75%
15%
10%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1998 |
MAD
5 - 2
SYC
75%
15%
10%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1996 |
MUS
0 - 0
MAD
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2000 |
MAD
1 - 1
MUS
71%
17%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
RSA
3 - 0
MUS
88%
10%
2%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
HKG
4 - 3
MUS
69%
17%
13%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
LSO
1 - 2
MUS
60%
20%
19%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
SYC
4 - 3
MUS
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |