Mačva 1929 vs Smederevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
72.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
13º
16º
13º
77
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mačva 1929
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FRP
2 - 1
MAC
50%
23%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 2
TUT
38%
27%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SLO
1 - 1
MAC
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 1
BUD
54%
22%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PRI
2 - 1
MAC
13%
19%
69%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Smederevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SME
3 - 0
MLA
89%
9%
3%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BUA
1 - 3
SME
10%
18%
72%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SME
2 - 0
FRK
89%
8%
3%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 4
SME
10%
19%
71%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SME
1 - 0
TAK
89%
8%
2%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |