Mâcon vs Thonon Évian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
9º
5º
37
3º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 43 |
3º
|
83.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
47.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 31 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mâcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
LYO
2 - 1
MAC
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 2
LIM
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
MAC
2 - 1
SEY
69%
17%
14%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 0
MAC
36%
26%
37%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
MAC
0 - 0
HAL
66%
20%
13%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
THO
1 - 0
CHA
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
HAL
1 - 0
THO
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
THO
1 - 3
BOU
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 3
THO
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
THO
2 - 0
ESM
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |