Machida Zelvia vs Roasso Kumamoto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
GAI
0 - 3
MAC
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 1
AVI
49%
25%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
EHI
2 - 0
MAC
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 0
KAM
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ATF
0 - 1
MAC
23%
24%
53%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Roasso Kumamoto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
KYO
2 - 0
ROA
69%
20%
12%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ROA
2 - 1
GAI
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AVI
2 - 1
ROA
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
SAG
2 - 2
ROA
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ROA
1 - 0
FAG
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |