Machida Zelvia vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 1
TOK
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 3
JEF
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
YFM
1 - 4
MAC
75%
16%
10%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 2
TOK
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
OIT
0 - 3
MAC
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
KAT
3 - 4
ALB
27%
24%
49%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
CON
0 - 1
ALB
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 1
VIS
26%
25%
49%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ALB
2 - 0
SAN
26%
26%
48%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
KAR
0 - 0
ALB
56%
23%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |