Machida Zelvia vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
MIT
0 - 0
MAC
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
REN
3 - 1
MAC
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 2
TOK
39%
29%
33%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
YOK
1 - 1
MAC
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
VEN
1 - 0
MAC
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
ALB
4 - 3
TOK
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 0
ZWE
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
RYK
1 - 1
ALB
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 0
GRU
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 1
VVA
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |