Machico vs Santana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.2%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 0
CAM
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 1
MAC
68%
18%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 4
PON
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
MAC
18%
22%
60%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 0
CAL
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
1MA
26%
24%
50%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 1
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 3
CAN
11%
18%
71%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PON
4 - 0
SAN
82%
13%
6%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
POR
53%
23%
25%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |