Machico vs Santacruzense SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+637%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
MAC
31%
23%
46%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 0
XAV
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 2
PON
37%
23%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAN
8 - 0
MAC
64%
20%
17%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
CAM
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santacruzense SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CRU
0 - 1
SAN
16%
20%
64%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 1
CAN
25%
22%
53%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 2
SAN
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
RIB
21%
22%
56%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
4 - 2
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |