Machico vs Rebordosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
62.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
13º
10º
48
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
67% | 81.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALP
2 - 2
MAC
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 2
VAL
11%
17%
72%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
MAC
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAC
3 - 2
RES
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 1
LEC
11%
17%
73%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Rebordosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
REB
1 - 1
LEC
32%
27%
41%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 2
REB
34%
25%
42%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
REB
0 - 0
BMA
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
REB
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
REB
2 - 0
GUA
67%
18%
16%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |