Machico vs Portosantense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
36.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+524%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 0
1MA
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 3
MAC
20%
22%
58%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 0
MAC
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
BMA
3 - 0
MAC
89%
9%
2%
|
22 | 72 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Portosantense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
POR
4 - 1
SAN
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 0
POR
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |