Machico vs Pontassolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+524%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
MAC
18%
22%
60%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 0
CAL
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AND
0 - 0
MAC
15%
21%
64%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 0
BAR
82%
13%
6%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CRU
0 - 1
MAC
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pontassolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PON
4 - 0
SAN
82%
13%
6%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 1
PON
25%
23%
52%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PON
0 - 1
CAN
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
1MA
1 - 3
PON
25%
23%
52%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
PON
12%
19%
69%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | -1 |