Machico vs Gondomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
63.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
13º
10º
38
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
67% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 0
MAC
81%
14%
5%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 2
REB
17%
21%
63%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALP
2 - 2
MAC
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 2
VAL
11%
17%
72%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
MAC
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GON
2 - 0
LEC
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
GON
31%
29%
41%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
GON
0 - 2
BMA
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
GON
52%
25%
23%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
GON
2 - 2
GUA
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |