Machico vs Gondomar analysis

Machico Gondomar
30 ELO 41
-7.4% Tilt -1.9%
7501º General ELO ranking 6893º
169º Country ELO ranking 150º
ELO win probability
16.1%
Machico
20.8%
Draw
63.2%
Gondomar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
Machico
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
63.1%
Win probability
Gondomar
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Machico
+23%
-44%
Gondomar

Points and table prediction

Machico
Their league position
Gondomar
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
13º
10º
38
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lusitania FC
49
52
35%
SC Salgueiros
49
52
16.5%
Rebordosa
48
51
59%
Beira Mar SC
47
48
77.5%
Marítimo II
43
44
100%
Valadares Gaia
39
42
93%
Gondomar
38
38
93%
Leça FC
30
33
71.5%
Camacha
31
32
71.5%
Machico
11º
25
29
10º
67%
Alpendorada
10º
29
29
11º
67%
Castro Daire
12º
20
20
12º
84%
Resende
13º
17
17
13º
84%
Guarda Desportiva
14º
10
11
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Machico
Gondomar
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
67% 100%
Mid-table
33% 0%

ELO progression

Machico
Gondomar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Machico
Machico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2023
SAL
SC Salgueiros
2 - 0
Machico
MAC
81%
14%
5%
26 49 23 0
26 Feb. 2023
MAC
Machico
2 - 2
Rebordosa
REB
17%
21%
63%
25 40 15 +1
19 Feb. 2023
ALP
Alpendorada
2 - 2
Machico
MAC
71%
16%
13%
25 34 9 0
12 Feb. 2023
MAC
Machico
0 - 2
Valadares Gaia
VAL
11%
17%
72%
26 46 20 -1
05 Feb. 2023
CAM
Camacha
1 - 1
Machico
MAC
73%
16%
11%
26 39 13 0

Matches

Gondomar
Gondomar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2023
GON
Gondomar
2 - 0
Leça FC
LEC
42%
26%
32%
42 44 2 0
26 Feb. 2023
CAS
Castro Daire
0 - 0
Gondomar
GON
31%
29%
41%
42 37 5 0
19 Feb. 2023
GON
Gondomar
0 - 2
Beira Mar SC
BMA
38%
26%
36%
44 47 3 -2
12 Feb. 2023
MAR
Marítimo II
2 - 2
Gondomar
GON
52%
25%
23%
44 45 1 0
05 Feb. 2023
GON
Gondomar
2 - 2
Guarda Desportiva
GUA
79%
13%
8%
44 28 16 0