Machico vs Caniçal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
39.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+524%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PON
1 - 1
MAC
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
4 - 1
POR
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
POR
1 - 3
MAC
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 1
MAC
29%
25%
46%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
4 - 1
AND
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Caniçal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAN
0 - 1
SAN
83%
12%
5%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CAM
4 - 4
CAN
22%
22%
56%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 1
1MA
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAN
0 - 2
PON
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
POR
0 - 3
CAN
13%
19%
68%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | +1 |