Machico vs Câmara de Lobos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+524%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 1
MAC
68%
18%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 4
PON
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
MAC
18%
22%
60%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 0
CAL
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AND
0 - 0
MAC
15%
21%
64%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Câmara de Lobos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 1
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
1MA
1 - 0
CAM
33%
24%
42%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 0
CAM
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 1
PON
25%
23%
52%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
POR
1 - 3
CAM
22%
23%
55%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |