Machico vs Calheta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
41.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+637%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
MAC
35%
23%
42%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
MAC
3 - 4
SAN
41%
23%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
MAC
31%
23%
46%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 0
XAV
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 2
PON
37%
23%
39%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Calheta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 1
POR
36%
23%
41%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 5
CAN
32%
23%
46%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CAM
3 - 2
CAL
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CRU
0 - 0
CAL
13%
18%
69%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
8 - 2
RIB
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +2 |