Machico vs Calheta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+524%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AND
0 - 0
MAC
15%
21%
64%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 0
BAR
82%
13%
6%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CRU
0 - 1
MAC
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 2
POR
39%
24%
37%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 0
1MA
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Calheta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 0
CAL
44%
24%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
CAN
27%
23%
49%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PON
1 - 2
CAL
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 1
POR
78%
15%
8%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |