Machico U19 vs Lusitania FC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
72.9%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+365%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machico U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
PAÇ
8 - 1
MAC
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
VIZ
10 - 1
MAC
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 50 | 33 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
LUS
1 - 0
MAC
76%
15%
10%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
MAC
2 - 1
PAÇ
10%
15%
76%
|
9 | 46 | 37 | +8 |
Matches
Lusitania FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
MOR
2 - 1
LUS
50%
21%
29%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
LUS
1 - 0
MAC
76%
15%
10%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
VIZ
5 - 1
LUS
72%
16%
11%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
LUS
2 - 1
PAÇ
16%
22%
61%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +3 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
GON
2 - 2
LUS
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |