Machhindra vs Manang Marshyangdi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
14º
2º
32
1º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machhindra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
HIS
1 - 3
MFC
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
POL
2 - 1
MFC
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
SAT
1 - 3
MFC
18%
20%
62%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
ARM
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
JYC
0 - 0
MFC
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manang Marshyangdi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
NRT
40%
23%
36%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
FRC
1 - 1
MAN
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
KHU
69%
18%
14%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
STA
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 0
CHU
49%
23%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |