Machan vs Armed Forces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
68.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+189%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MFC
1 - 4
GFC
21%
20%
58%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
PIB
0 - 5
MFC
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | +3 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 6
IFC
17%
22%
62%
|
14 | 57 | 43 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
MAN
4 - 0
MFC
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 6
UMF
13%
18%
69%
|
15 | 48 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Armed Forces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
AFF
1 - 1
IFC
23%
23%
54%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
AFF
4 - 0
HAR
51%
20%
28%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
AFF
1 - 0
GFC
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
BRF
3 - 1
AFF
50%
21%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
AFF
0 - 2
KLR
24%
23%
52%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |