Maceratese vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
48.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maceratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TER
1 - 1
MAC
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
5 - 2
CIT
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 1
MAC
26%
24%
50%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 0
CIV
25%
24%
51%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VIS
0 - 1
MAC
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SSS
3 - 2
AST
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
OLY
1 - 1
SSS
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SSS
4 - 1
RCA
73%
19%
9%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
SSS
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SSS
0 - 1
AMI
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |