Maceratese vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maceratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ACP
0 - 0
MAC
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
PIS
1 - 2
MAC
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 0
SPA
34%
29%
38%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SIE
0 - 1
MAC
74%
18%
8%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MAC
3 - 2
TER
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LAQ
2 - 0
TER
26%
29%
45%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PIS
3 - 0
LAQ
57%
25%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
ANC
2 - 1
LAQ
35%
25%
41%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
LAQ
1 - 1
SAN
44%
30%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LAQ
2 - 1
CAR
32%
30%
38%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |