Maceratese vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maceratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
GIU
1 - 2
MAC
27%
26%
46%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
MAC
3 - 0
ASC
74%
16%
11%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
REC
2 - 0
MAC
27%
26%
46%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
JES
0 - 1
MAC
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 4
ANC
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
FAN
2 - 1
JES
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
AMI
1 - 0
FAN
40%
24%
36%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FAN
3 - 0
ASB
84%
12%
4%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
OLY
1 - 0
FAN
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FAN
1 - 0
VIS
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |