Maceratese vs Civitanovese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
50.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maceratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VIS
0 - 1
MAC
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 2
ANC
14%
23%
63%
|
28 | 64 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 1
MDC
50%
25%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ATL
3 - 3
MAC
54%
24%
22%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
MAC
3 - 0
REC
34%
27%
39%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CIV
0 - 0
AST
59%
23%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
OLY
2 - 1
CIV
35%
25%
39%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CIV
3 - 1
ATL
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RIC
1 - 5
CIV
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
CIV
2 - 2
VIS
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |