Macedonia del Norte U21 vs Lituania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macedonia del Norte U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
MKD
1 - 2
ENG
10%
19%
71%
|
45 | 79 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
GRC
3 - 1
MKD
80%
14%
7%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
CRO
2 - 1
MKD
78%
15%
8%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
MKD
0 - 3
ALB
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
NOR
0 - 0
MKD
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Lituania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
POR
4 - 1
LTU
82%
12%
5%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
LTU
2 - 3
GEO
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
LTU
0 - 1
GRC
15%
21%
64%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
BLR
4 - 1
LTU
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
LTU
0 - 3
IRL
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |