Maceda vs Sande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maceda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RAL
2 - 2
MAC
54%
22%
25%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAC
3 - 2
VID
54%
21%
25%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
MAC
21%
22%
57%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MAC
5 - 1
LOB
46%
22%
32%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PAD
1 - 3
MAC
63%
20%
18%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 3
MUI
44%
22%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
RAN
3 - 2
SAN
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
MUN
65%
19%
16%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VIA
2 - 1
SAN
65%
18%
17%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MER
1 - 0
SAN
32%
23%
45%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |