Maceda vs Molgas ADF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maceda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ESP
4 - 3
MAC
35%
21%
44%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MAC
12 - 0
SAR
82%
12%
7%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MAC
2 - 3
CVI
45%
22%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
MAC
9%
14%
78%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MAC
3 - 1
ROC
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Molgas ADF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MOL
0 - 5
ANT
13%
16%
70%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
MOL
2 - 0
SAR
50%
20%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VIA
7 - 0
MOL
92%
6%
2%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MOL
0 - 6
RUA
6%
12%
82%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
PSI
4 - 0
MOL
54%
20%
25%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |