UCL Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 6-3
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hibernians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maccabi Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
HIB
2 - 1
MTA
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
ANZ
1 - 1
MTA
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
MTA
3 - 0
VOZ
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
MTA
0 - 2
MPT
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
BEI
3 - 0
MTA
22%
26%
52%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
HIB
2 - 1
MTA
39%
24%
37%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
BIR
2 - 0
HIB
33%
23%
44%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
QOR
0 - 2
HIB
14%
17%
69%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
HIB
3 - 1
VAL
52%
23%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BIR
0 - 0
HIB
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |