Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 5-1
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs FK Panevėžys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maccabi Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 2
MTA
27%
25%
49%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
MTA
0 - 1
STB
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
STB
1 - 1
MTA
39%
24%
37%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
MTA
2 - 0
MPT
46%
24%
31%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
MTA
2 - 0
OMO
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FK Panevėžys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 0
ZAL
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 2
MTA
27%
25%
49%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
JAG
3 - 1
PAN
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DTE
3 - 3
PAN
22%
27%
51%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 4
JAG
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |