Q. Europa League First and second round Final
Global 11-0
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Bashkimi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maccabi Petah Tikva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2005 |
BAS
0 - 5
MPT
41%
26%
34%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2005 |
HAP
1 - 0
MPT
50%
27%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
MPT
4 - 2
BSA
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
BEI
4 - 2
MPT
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
MPT
2 - 1
BNE
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bashkimi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
BAS
1 - 1
SIL
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2005 |
BAS
0 - 5
MPT
41%
26%
34%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
RAB
2 - 0
BAS
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2005 |
ZEP
1 - 1
BAS
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2005 |
BAS
0 - 0
ZEP
59%
21%
19%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |