Macarthur FC vs Sydney FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
9º
8º
15
6º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
1% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
33% | 33% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 66% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 2
MFC
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WUF
4 - 2
MFC
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 3
WES
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 2
MFC
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 3
CCM
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SYD
2 - 1
WES
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 1
SYD
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
PER
1 - 1
SYD
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SYD
2 - 0
CCM
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
WPH
2 - 1
SYD
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |