Mação vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
72.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mação
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
IRI
3 - 1
MAC
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 2
SER
10%
17%
73%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
FAT
1 - 0
MAC
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 1
OLI
9%
15%
76%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
LOU
3 - 0
MAC
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
VIL
5 - 1
CAL
76%
17%
7%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 2
UDL
17%
24%
60%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SIN
2 - 0
CAL
42%
27%
31%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CAL
3 - 1
IRI
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ANA
2 - 0
CAL
64%
22%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -2 |