Macao U23 vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
54.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macao U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
WAK
4 - 1
MAC
60%
19%
21%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
MAC
3 - 2
SMA
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
BEN
3 - 1
MAC
87%
9%
4%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 2
CDT
48%
22%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
LUL
0 - 6
MAC
14%
17%
69%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
MCA
4 - 0
CDT
71%
15%
14%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
BEN
3 - 0
MCA
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
CHF
0 - 3
MCA
31%
20%
50%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
MCA
1 - 1
PSP
94%
5%
1%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
ALF
3 - 4
MCA
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +10 |