Macao U23 vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
30.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macao U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
HSA
0 - 2
MAC
28%
21%
52%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
ROM
0 - 5
MAC
14%
17%
69%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
MFH
0 - 5
MAC
10%
15%
75%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
HLM
2 - 1
MAC
39%
22%
40%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 0
CHW
70%
17%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
MCA
2 - 7
WAK
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
MCA
10 - 1
CPO
58%
19%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
MCA
4 - 3
LAI
59%
19%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CLU
1 - 7
MCA
39%
21%
40%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
MCA
5 - 0
KLM
57%
19%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |