Macao U23 vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
41.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macao U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
GLP
7 - 0
MAC
58%
20%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 3
WAK
37%
23%
41%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 3
PSP
47%
24%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 4
LLM
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 5
BEN
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MCA
6 - 0
KTM
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
KLM
0 - 5
MCA
21%
20%
59%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
MCA
5 - 1
GLP
51%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
MCA
3 - 2
WAK
51%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MCA
2 - 1
PSP
61%
20%
20%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |