Macao U21 vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macao U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
PSP
2 - 0
MUM
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
MUM
1 - 1
HTM
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
GLP
5 - 0
MUM
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
MUM
1 - 4
VCM
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
VLM
2 - 3
MUM
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
MCA
7 - 2
HTM
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
MCA
5 - 1
GLP
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
VCM
4 - 3
MCA
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
MCA
6 - 0
VLM
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
HFM
0 - 4
MCA
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |