Macaé Esporte vs Volta Redonda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 0
MAC
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
1 - 4
VAS
15%
22%
63%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AME
3 - 1
MAC
24%
23%
54%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 3
MAC
83%
12%
5%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 1
FRI
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Volta Redonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
VOL
1 - 1
RES
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 0
VOL
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
VOL
2 - 4
FLA
14%
22%
64%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
OLA
2 - 0
VOL
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VOL
2 - 1
BON
53%
24%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |