Macaé Esporte vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
DUQ
2 - 1
MAC
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MAD
2 - 1
MAC
36%
27%
38%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 2
BRA
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
MAC
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 2
OES
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
5 - 1
MAD
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 1
VIL
62%
23%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
TUP
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 1
DUQ
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |