Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 1-1
Macaé Esporte vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
TUP
1 - 1
MAC
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
MAC
3 - 1
PAU
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
PAU
0 - 0
MAC
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
FLU
2 - 1
MAC
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 1
RIO
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
TUP
1 - 1
MAC
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
TUP
4 - 2
FLU
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 1
TUP
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
TUP
0 - 2
MAD
61%
22%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
PAU
0 - 0
TUP
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |