Macaé Esporte vs Resende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 1
TIG
75%
17%
9%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
VOL
3 - 1
MAC
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 0
MAC
37%
26%
38%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 2
BON
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 1
AME
59%
23%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RES
0 - 0
MAD
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FLA
5 - 0
RES
83%
13%
4%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
TIG
1 - 1
RES
21%
26%
53%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
RES
1 - 1
FRI
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
RES
0 - 1
BOT
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |