Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 3-1
Macaé Esporte vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
PAU
0 - 0
MAC
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
FLU
2 - 1
MAC
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 1
RIO
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 0
ALA
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 2
MAC
35%
26%
38%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
PAU
0 - 0
MAC
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
FRI
0 - 0
PAU
29%
27%
43%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
PAU
0 - 0
TUP
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
PAU
1 - 1
MAD
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
MAD
1 - 2
PAU
28%
27%
46%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |